Linang Xiao vs Jie Cui | Ningboo Round of 32

UMPIRY

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC

Linang XiaoCHN32%

VSClear favourite · Cui J.

Jie CuiATP #448 · CHN68%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cui J.

32%68%

Clear edge for Cui J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Xiao L.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Cui J.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Cui J.

Recent runLost last 4Informative

Head-to-headLeads 3–2 on hardSupports Cui J.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 540

Hard ELO1 518

Last 103–7

Age26

Height173 cm

PlaysRight

ELO1 669

Hard ELO1 611

Last 105–5

Age28

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

Linang Xiao faces Jie Cui in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Jie Cui holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 3–2.

Key context

Freshness: Linang Xiao comes in with 19 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Jie Cui's 1 and 106.
Head-to-head: Jie Cui leads the head-to-head 3–2. Last met at M25 Fuzhou 1 2024.
Surface form: Linang Xiao 3 of 10, Jie Cui 5 of 10 on hard recently — Jie Cui the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

5 meetings · Cui J. leads 3–2

Cui J.September 2024M25 Fuzhou 1Hard6-2 6-4
Cui J.September 2024Shanghai CHHard6-7 6-2 0-0
Xiao L.July 2023M25 Fuzhou 1Hard6-7(4) 2-1
Xiao L.June 2023M15 Tianjin 1Hard3-2
Cui J.March 2023M15 Monastir 10Hard6-4 6-1

Evidence

Xiao L.Cui J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–75–5

Season win rate21% (3–11)44% (15–19)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15401669

Hard-court ELO15181611

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 33 matches

1st-serve points won70%69%

Return points won38%36%

Aces / match4.44.5

ClutchLast 14 vs 33 matches

Break points saved56%62%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Xiao L.Cui J.

19Days since last match1

0Matches · 7 days3

0Games · 7 days63

0Matches · 14 days5

0Games · 14 days106

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Linang Xiao vs Jie Cui — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/cui-vs-xiao-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).