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Calvin Hemery vs Robin Catry — Brest Qualifying Round of 16

BrestQ16QualifyingHardMon 26 Oct · 12:30
Calvin HemeryATP #279 · FRA51%
VSToss-up
Robin CatryATP #680 · FRA49%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hemery C.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Catry R.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Hemery C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Hemery C.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 720
Hard ELO1 580
Last 108–2
Age31
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $950K2026 $69K
ELO1 601
Hard ELO1 596
Last 104–6
Age24
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $49K2026 $15K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hemery C.Catry R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate61% (37–24) (ahead)47% (15–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1720 (ahead)1601
Hard-court ELO15801596 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 58 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won73%75% (ahead)
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match5.46.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 58 vs 25 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Overcast
Wind27 km/h
Humidity94%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hemery C.Catry R.
1Days since last match1
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
36Games · 7 days17 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
36 — fresherGames · 14 days46
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Calvin Hemery vs Robin Catry — Brest Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/catry-vs-hemery-brest-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).