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Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce Nakashima — Sioux Falls Round of 32

Sioux FallsR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Brooksby J.
75%25%

Clear edge for Brooksby J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Brooksby J.6.8/10
Slight advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Nakashima B.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Brooksby J.
Recent run4-match win streakSupports Brooksby J.
CountryWon 70% in USA (73)Supports Brooksby J.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 918
Hard ELO1 789
Last 107–3
Age26
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $884K
ELO1 583
Hard ELO1 569
Last 108–2
Age22
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $41K2026 $25K

Jenson Brooksby faces Bryce Nakashima in the Sioux Falls round of 32 on hard. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #99. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brooksby J.Nakashima B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–38–2 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (19–23)71% (20–8) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1918 (ahead)1583
Hard-court ELO1789 (ahead)1569
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won67%75% (ahead)
Return points won37%39% (ahead)
Aces / match3.06.2 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 16 matches
Break points saved57%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast6°C · Overcast
Wind19 km/h
Humidity92%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jenson Brooksby vs Bryce Nakashima — Sioux Falls Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/brooksby-vs-nakashima-sioux-falls-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).