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Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady — Ningboo Round of 32

NingbooR32HardMon 26 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Fomin S.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Broady L.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
What we know
Surface+208 Hard Elo edgeFavours Broady L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1590Favours Broady L.
Recent runLost last 6Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 671
Hard ELO1 606
Last 103–7
Age25
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $168K2026 $33K
ELO1 718
Hard ELO1 669
Last 101–9
Age32
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.2M2026 $122K

Sergey Fomin faces Liam Broady in the Ningboo round of 32 on hard. Liam Broady is the paper favourite — ranked #233, a roughly 210-point hard Elo advantage — but Sergey Fomin arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 9 on hard to Liam Broady's 1 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Fomin S.Broady L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–7 (ahead)1–9
Season win rate49% (22–23)51% (24–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16711718 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16061669 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won68%69% (ahead)
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match5.0 (ahead)2.8
ClutchLast 43 vs 44 matches
Break points saved53%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Fomin S.Broady L.
4 — fresherDays since last match2
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
28 — fresherGames · 7 days51
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
28 — fresherGames · 14 days71
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady — Ningboo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/broady-vs-fomin-ningboo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).