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Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 32

Curitiba Open - CuritibaR32ClayMon 26 Oct · 14:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bosio V.4.2/10
Heavy underdog
Ortenzi J.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+272 Clay Elo edgeSupports Ortenzi J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1522Supports Ortenzi J.
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Ortenzi J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on clayBoth players
ELO1 660
Clay ELO1 641
Last 107–3
Age32
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $164K2026 $30K
ELO1 684
Clay ELO1 694
Last 104–6
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $298K2026 $133K

Victoria Bosio faces Jazmin Ortenzi in the Curitiba Open - Curitiba round of 32 on clay. Jazmin Ortenzi is the paper favourite — ranked #150, a roughly 270-point clay Elo advantage — but Victoria Bosio arrives in form, winning all 5 of their last clay matches to Jazmin Ortenzi's 3 of 5. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at W25 Tucuman 2023.
  • Surface form: Victoria Bosio 5 of 5, Jazmin Ortenzi 3 of 5 on clay recently — Victoria Bosio the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Jazmin Ortenzi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Bosio V.Ortenzi J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate64% (37–21) (ahead)53% (18–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16601684 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16411694 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 34 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)57%
Return points won47%47%
Aces / match1.3 (ahead)0.5
ClutchLast 48 vs 34 matches
Break points saved53% (ahead)48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind5 km/h
Humidity43%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi — Curitiba Open - Curitiba Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/bosio-vs-ortenzi-curitiba-open-curitiba-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).