UMPIRY
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Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges — Basel Round of 64

BaselR64HardMon 26 Oct · 13:30
VSClear favourite · Borges N.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Borges N.
32%68%

Clear edge for Borges N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Brunold M.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Borges N.7.1/10
Strong advantage
Why
Surface+271 Hard Elo edgeSupports Borges N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1769Supports Borges N.
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Opponent formOpponent hot: 8 of last 10Against the prediction · Brunold M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 760
Hard ELO1 602
Last 108–2
Age22
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $147K2026 $24K
ELO1 981
Hard ELO1 827
Last 105–5
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.9M2026 $1.5M

Mika Brunold faces Nuno Borges in the Basel round of 64 on hard. Nuno Borges is the paper favourite — ranked #52, a roughly 270-point hard Elo advantage — but Mika Brunold arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on hard to Nuno Borges's 3 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Brunold M.Borges N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate71% (35–14) (ahead)49% (27–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17601981 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16021827 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won67%74% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)35%
Aces / match2.76.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 46 vs 53 matches
Break points saved58%66% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast13°C · Overcast
Wind2 km/h
Humidity50%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Brunold M.Borges N.
1Days since last match15 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
54Games · 7 days0 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
154Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mika Brunold vs Nuno Borges — Basel Round of 64", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/borges-vs-brunold-basel-r64?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).