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Ugo Blanchet vs Vadym Ursu — Brest Qualifying Round of 16

BrestQ16QualifyingHardMon 26 Oct · 11:00
Ugo BlanchetATP #345 · FRA84%
VSStrong favourite · Blanchet U.
Vadym UrsuATP #412 · UKR16%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Blanchet U.
84%16%

Clear edge for Blanchet U. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Blanchet U.6.2/10
Even match
Ursu V.3.3/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+350 Hard Elo edgeSupports Blanchet U.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1521Supports Blanchet U.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 754
Hard ELO1 678
Last 106–4
Age27
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $993K2026 $122K
ELO1 628
Hard ELO1 604
Last 103–7
Age29
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $160K2026 $20K

Ugo Blanchet faces Vadym Ursu in the Brest qualifying round of 16 on hard. Ugo Blanchet holds the paper edge — ranked #345, a roughly 350-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Blanchet U.Ursu V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate46% (22–26) (ahead)27% (7–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1754 (ahead)1628
Hard-court ELO1678 (ahead)1604
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 26 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)65%
Return points won35%39% (ahead)
Aces / match5.4 (ahead)3.5
ClutchLast 47 vs 26 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast15°C · Overcast
Wind25 km/h
Humidity97%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Blanchet U.Ursu V.
1Days since last match1
1Matches · 7 days1
16 — fresherGames · 7 days28
5Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
98Games · 14 days28 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ugo Blanchet vs Vadym Ursu — Brest Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/blanchet-vs-ursu-brest-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).