UMPIRY
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Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch — Sioux Falls Round of 32

Sioux FallsR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Blanch D.
29%71%

Clear edge for Blanch D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gorzny S.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Blanch D.7.0/10
Strong advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form8 of last 10 on hardSupports Blanch D.
Recent run4-match win streakSupports Blanch D.
CountryWon 64% in USA (45)Supports Blanch D.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Blanch D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 602
Hard ELO1 581
Last 106–4
Age22
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $33K2026 $14K
ELO1 738
Hard ELO1 645
Last 108–2
Age19
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $473K2026 $228K

Sebastian Gorzny faces Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls round of 32 on hard. Darwin Blanch holds the paper edge — ranked #159.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Gorzny S.Blanch D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (15–14)54% (33–28) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16021738 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15811645 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 56 matches
1st-serve points won71%74% (ahead)
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match7.0 (ahead)6.4
ClutchLast 24 vs 56 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast6°C · Overcast
Wind19 km/h
Humidity92%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Gorzny S.Blanch D.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
30 — fresherGames · 7 days79
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days4
30 — fresherGames · 14 days79
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sebastian Gorzny vs Darwin Blanch — Sioux Falls Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/blanch-vs-gorzny-sioux-falls-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).