UMPIRY
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Aidan Mayo vs Hynek Barton — Sioux Falls Round of 32

Sioux FallsR32HardMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Aidan MayoATP #336 · USA45%
VSToss-up
Hynek BartonATP #271 · CZE55%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mayo A.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Barton H.6.4/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+150 Hard Elo edgeSupports Barton H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1570Supports Barton H.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 45% in USA (117)Informative
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Barton H.
ELO1 663
Hard ELO1 622
Last 106–4
Age23
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $256K2026 $48K
ELO1 730
Hard ELO1 617
Last 104–6
Age22
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $184K2026 $54K

Aidan Mayo faces Hynek Barton in the Sioux Falls round of 32 on hard. Hynek Barton is the paper favourite — ranked #271, a roughly 150-point hard Elo advantage — but Aidan Mayo arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Hynek Barton's 3 of 6.

Key context

  • Freshness: Aidan Mayo comes in with 2 days of rest and 88 games in 14d, vs Hynek Barton's 12 and 11.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Hynek Barton has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 38 vs 12).
  • Surface form: Aidan Mayo 4 of 6, Hynek Barton 3 of 6 on hard recently — Aidan Mayo the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mayo A.Barton H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate54% (25–21)56% (37–29) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16631730 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1622 (ahead)1617
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 66 matches
1st-serve points won76% (ahead)73%
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match7.2 (ahead)5.8
ClutchLast 45 vs 66 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast6°C · Overcast
Wind19 km/h
Humidity92%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mayo A.Barton H.
2Days since last match12 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
88Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
88Games · 14 days11 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aidan Mayo vs Hynek Barton — Sioux Falls Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/barton-vs-mayo-sioux-falls-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).