UMPIRY
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Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena — Guayaquil Round of 32

GuayaquilR32ClayMon 26 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
54%46%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

ELO1 724
Clay ELO1 695
Last 104–6
Age22
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $408K2026 $192K
ELO1 699
Clay ELO1 680
Last 107–3
Age24
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $304K2026 $138K

Gonzalo Bueno faces Alex Barrena in the Guayaquil round of 32 on clay. Gonzalo Bueno is the paper favourite — ranked #199, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage — but Alex Barrena arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on clay to Gonzalo Bueno's 3 of 7.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Bueno G. leads 2–1
21

Evidence

Bueno G.Barrena A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate53% (33–29) (ahead)50% (30–30)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1724 (ahead)1699
Clay-court ELO1695 (ahead)1680
Serve vs returnLast 59 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won63%63%
Return points won42% (ahead)41%
Aces / match1.11.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 59 vs 60 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind4 km/h
Humidity71%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bueno G.Barrena A.
4Days since last match11 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
56Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
72Games · 14 days47 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gonzalo Bueno vs Alex Barrena — Guayaquil Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-26/barrena-vs-bueno-guayaquil-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 26 October 2026).