UMPIRY
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James Trotter vs Trevor Svajda — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32

Sioux FallsQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 16:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Trotter J.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Svajda T.5.7/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+70 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Svajda T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1485Against the prediction · Svajda T.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports Trotter J.
CountryWon 63% in USA (62)Supports Trotter J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Svajda T.
ELO1 683
Hard ELO1 622
Last 104–6
Age27
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $398K2026 $18K
ELO1 655
Hard ELO1 610
Last 103–7
Age20
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $177K2026 $81K

James Trotter faces Trevor Svajda in the Sioux Falls qualifying round of 32 on hard. Trevor Svajda holds the paper edge — ranked #474, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at Tyler CH 2024.
  • Surface form: James Trotter 4 of 10, Trevor Svajda 3 of 10 on hard recently — James Trotter the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: James Trotter carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Trotter J.Svajda T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate45% (17–21)48% (14–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1683 (ahead)1655
Hard-court ELO1622 (ahead)1610
Serve vs returnLast 36 vs 20 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)70%
Return points won36%38% (ahead)
Aces / match7.7 (ahead)3.0
ClutchLast 36 vs 20 matches
Break points saved56%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast7°C · Overcast
Wind15 km/h
Humidity84%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Trotter J.Svajda T.
7 — fresherDays since last match5
1Matches · 7 days1
26Games · 7 days18 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
26Games · 14 days18 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "James Trotter vs Trevor Svajda — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/svajda-vs-trotter-sioux-falls-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).