Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Ratti L.
82%18%
Clear edge for Ratti L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ratti L.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Rubini A.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayInformative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 611
Clay ELO1 588
Last 104–6
Age22
ELO1 496
Clay ELO1 495
Last 100–2
Age16
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Ratti L.Rubini A.
FormLast 10 vs 2 matches
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)0–2
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1611 (ahead)1496
Clay-court ELO1588 (ahead)1495
Draw
Odds
Conditions
13:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast32°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity62%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lucio Ratti vs Alessandro Rubini — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/ratti-vs-rubini-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).