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Jose Pereira vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32

GuayaquilQ32QualifyingClaySun 25 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Pereira J.
60%40%

Pereira J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pereira J.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Hernandez Serrano J.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on claySupports Pereira J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Hernandez Serrano J.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Pereira J.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 617
Clay ELO1 599
Last 107–3
Age35
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 538
Clay ELO1 501
Last 105–5
Age27
Height175 cm
PlaysRight

Jose Pereira faces Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano in the Guayaquil qualifying round of 32 on clay. Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Jose Pereira arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay to Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano's 3 of 6.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Hernandez Serrano J. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Pereira J.Hernandez Serrano J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate54% (14–12) (ahead)37% (7–12)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1617 (ahead)1538
Clay-court ELO1599 (ahead)1501
Serve vs returnLast 24 vs 18 matches
1st-serve points won65%66% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.2 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 24 vs 18 matches
Break points saved58%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast31°C · Mainly clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity68%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Pereira J.Hernandez Serrano J.
5Days since last match5
3Matches · 7 days3
55 — fresherGames · 7 days66
3Matches · 14 days3
55 — fresherGames · 14 days66
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jose Pereira vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/pereira-vs-serrano-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).