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Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32

NingbooQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 03:00 UTC
Semen PankinATP #430 · RUS50%
VSToss-up
Maxim ZhukovATP #775 · RUS50%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
50%50%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Pankin S.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Zhukov M.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Surface form2 of last 10 on hardBoth players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 601
Hard ELO1 562
Last 102–8
Age27
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $45K2026 $22K
ELO1 603
Hard ELO1 582
Last 102–8
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $59K2026 $5K

Semen Pankin faces Maxim Zhukov in the Ningboo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Semen Pankin holds the paper edge — ranked #430. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Semen Pankin 46 games in 14 days, Maxim Zhukov 0.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Pankin S.Zhukov M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–82–8
Season win rate48% (14–15) (ahead)13% (1–7)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16011603 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15621582 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 20 vs 8 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)67%
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match5.7 (ahead)3.6
ClutchLast 20 vs 8 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)44%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Pankin S.Zhukov M.
5Days since last match19 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
33Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
46Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/pankin-vs-zhukov-ningboo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).