E. Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan | Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32

UMPIRY

NingbooQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 03:00 UTC

E. PleshivtsevATP #853 · RUS52%

VSToss-up

Dominik PalanATP #620 · CZE48%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Pleshivtsev E.6.0/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Palan D.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Palan D.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Pleshivtsev E.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 515

Hard ELO1 511

Last 106–4

Age19

ELO1 587

Hard ELO1 567

Last 102–8

Age26

E. Pleshivtsev faces Dominik Palan in the Ningboo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Dominik Palan is the paper favourite — ranked #620, leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but E. Pleshivtsev arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 7 on hard to Dominik Palan's 2 of 7.

Key context

Freshness: E. Pleshivtsev comes in with 6 days of rest and 23 games in 14d, vs Dominik Palan's 4 and 85.
Surface form: E. Pleshivtsev 4 of 7, Dominik Palan 2 of 7 on hard recently — E. Pleshivtsev the sharper of late.
Head-to-head: Dominik Palan leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M15 Nonthaburi 1 2025.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Palan D. leads 1–0

Palan D.March 2025M15 Nonthaburi 1Hard6-0 7-6(6)

Evidence

Pleshivtsev E.Palan D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–42–8

Season win rate57% (12–9)39% (12–19)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15151587

Hard-court ELO15111567

Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 27 matches

1st-serve points won73%74%

Return points won40%33%

Aces / match4.88.7

ClutchLast 14 vs 27 matches

Break points saved51%62%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Pleshivtsev E.Palan D.

6Days since last match4

1Matches · 7 days3

23Games · 7 days85

1Matches · 14 days3

23Games · 14 days85

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "E. Pleshivtsev vs Dominik Palan — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/palan-vs-pleshivtsev-ningboo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).