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Kenta Miyoshi vs Gavin Young — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32

Sioux FallsQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 11:30
Kenta MiyoshiATP #441 · JPN80%
VSStrong favourite · Miyoshi K.
Gavin YoungATP #542 · USA20%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Miyoshi K.
80%20%

Clear edge for Miyoshi K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Miyoshi K.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Young G.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
CountryWon 55% in USA (65)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 627
Hard ELO1 601
Last 104–6
Age22
ELO1 505
Hard ELO1 503
Last 102–2
Age24

Kenta Miyoshi faces Gavin Young in the Sioux Falls qualifying round of 32 on hard. Kenta Miyoshi holds the paper edge — ranked #441. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Kenta Miyoshi 108 games in 14 days, Gavin Young 69.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 4 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Miyoshi K.Young G.
FormLast 10 vs 4 matches · 2026
Win–loss4–62–2 (ahead)
Season win rate66% (25–13) (ahead)50% (2–2)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1627 (ahead)1505
Hard-court ELO1601 (ahead)1503
Serve vs returnLast 33 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)65%
Return points won42% (ahead)37%
Aces / match6.0 (ahead)3.8
ClutchLast 33 vs 4 matches
Break points saved60%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast8°C · Drizzle
Wind11 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Miyoshi K.Young G.
4Days since last match5 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days3 — fresher
108Games · 7 days69 — fresher
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
108Games · 14 days69 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Kenta Miyoshi vs Gavin Young — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/miyoshi-vs-young-sioux-falls-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).