UMPIRY
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Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Tristan Mccormick — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32

GuayaquilQ32QualifyingClaySun 25 Oct · 13:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · McCormick T.
42%58%

McCormick T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Munk Mesa B.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
McCormick T.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 5 on clayAgainst the prediction · Munk Mesa B.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 519
Clay ELO1 515
Last 104–6
Age20
ELO1 572
Clay ELO1 553
Last 105–5
Age27

Bernardo Munk Mesa faces Tristan Mccormick in the Guayaquil qualifying round of 32 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Munk Mesa B.McCormick T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate44% (11–14)51% (19–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15191572 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15151553 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won66%73% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)37%
Aces / match4.85.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 21 vs 28 matches
Break points saved58%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast33°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity59%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Munk Mesa B.McCormick T.
7Days since last match7
1Matches · 7 days1
19Games · 7 days17 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
40Games · 14 days17 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Tristan Mccormick — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/mccormick-vs-mesa-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).