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Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32

NingbooQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 07:30 UTC
Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongATP #405 · MAS77%
VSClear favourite · Kang Leong M.
Qian SunATP #890 · CHN23%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Kang Leong M.
77%23%

Clear edge for Kang Leong M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kang Leong M.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sun Q.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Kang Leong M.
Recent runLost last 11Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 612
Hard ELO1 592
Last 106–4
Age22
ELO1 524
Hard ELO1 520
Last 105–5
Age25

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong faces Qian Sun in the Ningboo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong holds the paper edge — ranked #405. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 6 of 10, Qian Sun 5 of 10 on hard recently — Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kang Leong M.Sun Q.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate62% (24–15) (ahead)38% (8–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1612 (ahead)1524
Hard-court ELO1592 (ahead)1520
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 18 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)69%
Return points won40% (ahead)38%
Aces / match5.35.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 18 matches
Break points saved60%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kang Leong M.Sun Q.
5 — fresherDays since last match4
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
46Games · 7 days18 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
46 — fresherGames · 14 days49
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Qian Sun — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/leong-vs-sun-ningboo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).