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Mateo Del Pino vs Wilson Leite — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32

GuayaquilQ32QualifyingClaySun 25 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Del Pino M.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Leite W.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Leite W.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Del Pino M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 551
Clay ELO1 550
Last 102–8
Age23
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
ELO1 535
Clay ELO1 521
Last 105–5
Age34
Height178 cm
PlaysRight

Mateo Del Pino faces Wilson Leite in the Guayaquil qualifying round of 32 on clay. Wilson Leite brings the better recent clay form (4 of 9).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Del Pino M.Leite W.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
Season win rate20% (4–16)49% (18–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1551 (ahead)1535
Clay-court ELO1550 (ahead)1521
Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won54%67% (ahead)
Return points won42%42%
Aces / match0.61.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 18 vs 30 matches
Break points saved50%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast31°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity66%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Del Pino M.Leite W.
7Days since last match7
1Matches · 7 days1
20 — fresherGames · 7 days32
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days3
20 — fresherGames · 14 days65
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mateo Del Pino vs Wilson Leite — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/leite-vs-pino-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).