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Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32

GuayaquilQ32QualifyingClaySun 25 Oct · 15:00
Alan MagadanATP #504 · MEX75%
VSClear favourite · Magadan A.
Mario Andre GalarragaECU25%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Magadan A.
75%25%

Clear edge for Magadan A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Magadan A.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Galarraga M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 570
Clay ELO1 510
Last 105–5
Age25
ELO1 489
Clay ELO1 488
Last 100–3
Age19

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Magadan A.Galarraga M.
FormLast 10 vs 3 matches · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)0–3
Season win rate47% (15–17) (ahead)0% (0–1)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1570 (ahead)1489
Clay-court ELO1510 (ahead)1488
Serve vs returnLast 28 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)61%
Return points won40% (ahead)25%
Aces / match4.0 (ahead)0.0
ClutchLast 28 vs 1 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)0%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast32°C · Drizzle
Wind7 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alan Magadan vs Mario Andre Galarraga — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/galarraga-vs-magadan-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).