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Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32

NingbooQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 06:30 UTC
Xiaoyin YangCHN31%
VSClear favourite · Derepasko T.
Timofei DerepaskoATP #609 · RUS69%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Derepasko T.
31%69%

Clear edge for Derepasko T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Yang X.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Derepasko T.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 491
Hard ELO1 490
Last 102–5
Age21
ELO1 561
Hard ELO1 551
Last 105–5
Age19

Xiaoyin Yang faces Timofei Derepasko in the Ningboo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Timofei Derepasko brings the better recent hard form (3 of 7).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Yang X.Derepasko T.
FormLast 7 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss2–55–5 (ahead)
Season win rate29% (2–5)53% (18–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14911561 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14901551 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 23 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)69%
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match8.3 (ahead)4.3
ClutchLast 7 vs 23 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Yang X.Derepasko T.
6Days since last match15 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
17Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
17Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Xiaoyin Yang vs Timofei Derepasko — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/derepasko-vs-yang-ningboo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).