Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mattel M.
15%85%
Clear edge for Mattel M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cirotte C.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mattel M.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Mattel M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 493
Hard ELO1 495
Last 102–8
ELO1 540
Hard ELO1 520
Last 105–5
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Cirotte C.Mattel M.
FormLast 10 matches each
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14931540 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14951520 (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Conditions
14:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast16°C · Partly cloudy
Wind20 km/h
Humidity61%
Cite this
Umpiry, "Chloe Cirotte vs Marie Mattel — W75 Poitiers Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/cirotte-vs-mattel-w75-poitiers-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).