UMPIRY
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Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32

NingbooQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 08:30 UTC
Luca CastelnuovoATP #449 · SUI64%
VSSlight edge · Castelnuovo L.
Yusuke KusuharaATP #857 · JPN36%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Castelnuovo L.
64%36%

Castelnuovo L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Castelnuovo L.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kusuhara Y.5.1/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Castelnuovo L.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 626
Hard ELO1 605
Last 105–5
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $150K2026 $22K
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 561
Last 103–7
Age29
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $41K2026 $3K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Castelnuovo L.Kusuhara Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate42% (14–19) (ahead)25% (3–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1626 (ahead)1574
Hard-court ELO1605 (ahead)1561
Serve vs returnLast 30 vs 9 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)65%
Return points won34% (ahead)33%
Aces / match8.6 (ahead)2.0
ClutchLast 30 vs 9 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luca Castelnuovo vs Yusuke Kusuhara — Ningboo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/castelnuovo-vs-kusuhara-ningboo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).