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Billy Blaydes vs Thomas Linley — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 32

M25 SheffieldQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 11:00
VSStrong favourite · Blaydes B.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Blaydes B.
83%17%

Clear edge for Blaydes B. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Blaydes B.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Linley T.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 565
Hard ELO1 548
Last 104–6
Age22
ELO1 452
Hard ELO1 461
Last 102–8
Age24

Billy Blaydes faces Thomas Linley in the M25 Sheffield qualifying round of 32 on hard. Billy Blaydes brings the better recent hard form (4 of 9).

Key context

  • Surface form: Billy Blaydes 4 of 9, Thomas Linley 2 of 9 on hard recently — Billy Blaydes the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Billy Blaydes carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Blaydes B.Linley T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–6 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate44% (8–10) (ahead)17% (1–5)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1565 (ahead)1452
Hard-court ELO1548 (ahead)1461
Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won67%70% (ahead)
Return points won41% (ahead)28%
Aces / match4.07.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 9 vs 1 matches
Break points saved51% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast10°C · Drizzle
Wind42 km/h
Humidity60%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Billy Blaydes vs Thomas Linley — M25 Sheffield Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/blaydes-vs-linley-m25-sheffield-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).