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Ozan Baris vs Hunter Heck — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32

Sioux FallsQ32QualifyingHardSun 25 Oct · 16:00
Ozan BarisATP #402 · USA73%
VSClear favourite · Baris O.
Hunter HeckATP #595 · USA27%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Baris O.
73%27%

Clear edge for Baris O. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Baris O.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Heck H.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Heck H.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 55% in USA (109)Supports Baris O.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 624
Hard ELO1 573
Last 105–5
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $60K2026 $20K
ELO1 514
Hard ELO1 497
Last 106–4
Age24
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $25K2026 $10K

Ozan Baris faces Hunter Heck in the Sioux Falls qualifying round of 32 on hard. Ozan Baris holds the paper edge — ranked #402. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Baris O.Heck H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate69% (20–9) (ahead)44% (7–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1624 (ahead)1514
Hard-court ELO1573 (ahead)1497
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)70%
Return points won38%39% (ahead)
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)3.6
ClutchLast 16 vs 14 matches
Break points saved48%56% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast7°C · Overcast
Wind15 km/h
Humidity85%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ozan Baris vs Hunter Heck — Sioux Falls Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/baris-vs-heck-sioux-falls-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).