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Daniel Elahi Galan vs Boris Arias — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32

GuayaquilQ32QualifyingClaySun 25 Oct · 10:00
Daniel Elahi GalanATP #368 · COL92%
VSStrong favourite · Galan D.
Boris AriasBOL8%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Galan D.
92%8%

Clear edge for Galan D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 13 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Galan D.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Arias B.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on claySupports Galan D.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Galan D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 729
Clay ELO1 663
Last 103–7
Age30
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 440
Clay ELO1 441
Last 102–8
Age32
Height185 cm
PlaysRight

Daniel Elahi Galan faces Boris Arias in the Guayaquil qualifying round of 32 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Galan D.Arias B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–7 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate46% (24–28) (ahead)27% (4–11)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1729 (ahead)1440
Clay-court ELO1663 (ahead)1441
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 13 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)62%
Return points won38% (ahead)35%
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)1.5
ClutchLast 46 vs 13 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast30°C · Overcast
Wind7 km/h
Humidity71%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Galan D.Arias B.
6Days since last match14 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
18Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
18 — fresherGames · 14 days27
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Daniel Elahi Galan vs Boris Arias — Guayaquil Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-25/arias-vs-galan-guayaquil-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 25 October 2026).