Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks | Preview, H2H & Win Probability

UMPIRY

Toray Pan Pacific Open - TokyoQ32QualifyingHardSat 24 Oct · 03:00 UTC

Ena ShibaharaWTA #492 · USA57%

VSToss-up

Alycia ParksWTA #64 · USA43%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

57%43%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Shibahara E.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Parks A.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form3 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Parks A.

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 729

Hard ELO1 658

Last 108–2

Age28

ELO1 724

Hard ELO1 631

Last 103–7

Age25

Ena Shibahara faces Alycia Parks in the Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo qualifying round of 32 on hard. Alycia Parks is the paper favourite — ranked #64 — but Ena Shibahara arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on hard to Alycia Parks's 3 of 10.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Ena Shibahara 32 games in 14 days, Alycia Parks 79.
Surface form: Ena Shibahara 8 of 10, Alycia Parks 3 of 10 on hard recently — Ena Shibahara the sharper of late.

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Shibahara E. and Parks A. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Shibahara E. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Parks A. 1–0 (100%).

0–10%Shibahara E. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Parks A. · better vs 1

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets2–0

14–18Games12–6

1–0Tiebreaks0–0

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Uchijima M.#121L4-6 7-6(7) 3-6Japan Open - Osaka · hardW6-2 6-4Rabat · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Shibahara E.Parks A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–23–7

Season win rate67% (8–4)47% (29–33)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17291724

Hard-court ELO16581631

Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 61 matches

1st-serve points won72%69%

Return points won43%41%

Aces / match4.96.1

ClutchLast 12 vs 61 matches

Break points saved62%55%

Draw

Odds

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Shibahara E.Parks A.

3Days since last match3

1Matches · 7 days3

32Games · 7 days62

1Matches · 14 days4

32Games · 14 days79

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ena Shibahara vs Alycia Parks — Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/parks-vs-shibahara-toray-pan-pacific-open-tokyo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).