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Polina Iatcenko vs Alexandra Shubladze — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32

Guangzhou Open - GuangzhouQ32QualifyingHardSat 24 Oct · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Iatcenko P.6.2/10
Even match
Shubladze A.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+70 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Iatcenko P.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1605Against the prediction · Iatcenko P.
Recent run5-match win streakSupports Shubladze A.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 764
Hard ELO1 691
Last 105–5
Age22
EarningsCareer $300K2026 $183K
ELO1 764
Hard ELO1 685
Last 108–2
Age21
EarningsCareer $131K2026 $69K

Polina Iatcenko faces Alexandra Shubladze in the Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou qualifying round of 32 on hard. Alexandra Shubladze holds the paper edge — ranked #136.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Iatcenko P.Shubladze A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–58–2 (ahead)
Season win rate51% (24–23)77% (50–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17641764
Hard-court ELO1691 (ahead)1685
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 65 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)61%
Return points won43%53% (ahead)
Aces / match2.4 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 45 vs 65 matches
Break points saved53%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind13 km/h
Humidity48%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Iatcenko P.Shubladze A.
11Days since last match19 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
45Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Polina Iatcenko vs Alexandra Shubladze — Guangzhou Open - Guangzhou Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-24/iatcenko-vs-shubladze-guangzhou-open-guangzhou-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 24 October 2026).