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Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Florence Quarter-final

FlorenceQuarter-finalClayFri 23 Oct · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
56%44%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Forti F.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Roca Batalla O.5.2/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+60 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Roca Batalla O.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1456Against the prediction · Roca Batalla O.
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on clayInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Roca Batalla O.
Recent run2-match win streakBoth players
ELO1 696
Clay ELO1 660
Last 106–4
Age27
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $226K2026 $30K
ELO1 723
Clay ELO1 687
Last 105–5
Age33
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $736K2026 $66K

Francesco Forti faces Oriol Roca Batalla in the Florence quarter-final on clay. Oriol Roca Batalla holds the paper edge — ranked #304, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Roca Batalla O. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Forti F.Roca Batalla O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate62% (32–20) (ahead)58% (26–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16961723 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16601687 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 41 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)70%
Return points won39%40% (ahead)
Aces / match4.9 (ahead)3.2
ClutchLast 48 vs 41 matches
Break points saved59%62% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast14°C · Partly cloudy
Wind4 km/h
Humidity74%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Forti F.Roca Batalla O.
3 — fresherDays since last match2
1Matches · 7 days1
21Games · 7 days17 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
55Games · 14 days35 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Francesco Forti vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Florence Quarter-final", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-23/batalla-vs-forti-florence-qf?utm_source=cite (as of 23 October 2026).