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Yidi Yang vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W35 Qian Daohu Round of 16

W35 Qian DaohuR16HardThu 22 Oct · 02:00 UTC
Yidi Yang(8)WTA #395 · CHN62%
VSSlight edge · Yang Y.
Chengyiyi YuanWTA #426 · CHN38%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Yang Y.
62%38%

Yang Y. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Yang Y.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Yuan C.3.7/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+298 Hard Elo edgeSupports Yang Y.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1372Supports Yang Y.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Yuan C.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 624
Hard ELO1 612
Last 104–6
Age26
EarningsCareer $122K2026 $26K
ELO1 592
Hard ELO1 573
Last 105–5
Age26
EarningsCareer $84K2026 $24K

Yidi Yang faces Chengyiyi Yuan in the W35 Qian Daohu round of 16 on hard. Yidi Yang is the paper favourite — ranked #395, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage — but Chengyiyi Yuan has won their only previous meeting. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Yuan C. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Yang Y.Yuan C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate52% (25–23)60% (35–23) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1624 (ahead)1592
Hard-court ELO1612 (ahead)1573
Serve vs returnLast 47 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won60%66% (ahead)
Return points won46%46%
Aces / match1.41.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 47 vs 44 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

02:00 UTC
SurfaceHard · slow

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Yang Y.Yuan C.
16Days since last match17 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
0Matches · 14 days0
0Games · 14 days0
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Yidi Yang vs Chengyiyi Yuan — W35 Qian Daohu Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/yang-vs-yuan-w35-qian-daohu-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).