Rada Zolotareva vs J. Sun | W35 Qian Daohu Round of 16

UMPIRY

W35 Qian DaohuR16HardThu 22 Oct · 02:00 UTC

Rada Zolotareva(6)WTA #342 · RUS85%

VSStrong favourite · Zolotareva R.

J. SunCHN15%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Zolotareva R.

85%15%

Clear edge for Zolotareva R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Zolotareva R.4.8/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Sun J.5.8/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

What we know

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 674

Hard ELO1 536

Last 109–1

Age18

ELO1 485

Hard ELO1 485

Last 105–5

Age20

Rada Zolotareva faces J. Sun in the W35 Qian Daohu round of 16 on hard.

Key context

Last match: Rada Zolotareva dropped the opening set before beating Daria Zelinskaya 6–7 6–1 6–3.
Last match: J. Sun dropped the opening set before beating Ekaterina Ovcharenko 3–6 6–1 6–2.
Fatigue load: J. Sun carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zolotareva R.Sun J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss9–15–5

Season win rate79% (26–7)45% (9–11)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16741485

Hard-court ELO15361485

Serve vs returnLast 31 vs 11 matches

1st-serve points won60%56%

Return points won51%49%

Aces / match1.20.0

ClutchLast 31 vs 11 matches

Break points saved52%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

02:00 UTC

SurfaceHard · slow

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rada Zolotareva vs J. Sun — W35 Qian Daohu Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/sun-vs-zolotareva-w35-qian-daohu-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).