Rafael Ymer vs Jan Klimas | M15 Ithaca Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 IthacaR16HardThu 22 Oct · 12:00

Rafael YmerSWE42%

VSSlight edge · Klimas J.

Jan KlimasCZE58%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Klimas J.

42%58%

Klimas J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Ymer R.4.3/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Klimas J.3.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 485

Hard ELO1 504

Last 107–3

Age20

ELO1 485

Hard ELO1 501

Last 105–5

Age19

Rafael Ymer faces Jan Klimas in the M15 Ithaca round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Jan Klimas dropped the opening set before beating Andreja Petrovic 1–6 7–6 6–2.
Last match: Rafael Ymer dropped just 5 games past Connor Plunkett.
Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Ymer R.Klimas J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate70% (7–3)50% (4–4)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14851485

Hard-court ELO15041501

Serve vs returnLast 6 vs 3 matches

1st-serve points won67%67%

Return points won43%43%

Aces / match1.85.3

ClutchLast 6 vs 3 matches

Break points saved57%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast10°C · Clear

Wind13 km/h

Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Rafael Ymer vs Jan Klimas — M15 Ithaca Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/klimas-vs-ymer-m15-ithaca-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).