Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessika Ponchet

UMPIRY

W50 Cherbourg-en-CotentinR16HardThu 22 Oct · 17:50Live

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva(4)WTA #211 · AND

Jessika PonchetWTA #310 · FRA

SetsGamesGame0

040

Odds

No breaks in the 2nd

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva faces Jessika Ponchet in the W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin round of 16 on hard. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #211, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage — but Jessika Ponchet arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 5 on hard to Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's 2 of 5.

Key context

Under pressure: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 52 vs Jessika Ponchet's 23).
Last match: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva dropped just 3 games past Oceane Babel.
Last match: Jessika Ponchet dropped just 5 games past Elena Ruxandra Bertea.

Serve flowJimenez Kasintseva V. broken once · Ponchet J. unbroken.

Hold to love/15
Hold to 30
Hold to 40 / deuce
Broken
Result unknown

Jimenez Kasintseva V.

4/5Ponchet J.

5/5

Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsJimenez Kasintseva V.Ponchet J.

Swinging toPonchet J.25

5Last 12 points7

10Last 3 games7

0/0Break points1/2

30 pointsNow

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Jimenez Kasintseva V.Ponchet J.

Serve

2Aces4
3Double faults0
63% · 17/271st serve %71% · 15/21
71%1st serve points won88%
30% · 3/102nd serve points won67% · 4/6
56% · 15/27Service points won81% · 17/21
80% · 4/5Service games held100% · 5/5

Return

19% · 4/21Return points won44% · 12/27
13% · 2/151st return points won29% · 5/17
33% · 2/62nd return points won70% · 7/10
0%Break points won100%
0Breaks of serve1

Points

19Total points won29
3Most points in a row5
1Most games in a row3

Key moments

Latest first

SETSet 1 · Game 9Ponchet J. took the set
BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Ponchet J. broke serve
HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 3Ponchet J. held to love
HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Ponchet J. held to love

Pre-match context

Ponchet J. came in with the higher hard rating (1627 vs 1617) and the better recent record (6–4 vs 3–7); Jimenez Kasintseva V. with the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play

Pre-match win probability

38%62%

Umpiry Score

4.2/10/103.8

Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability

ELO1 681

Hard ELO1 617

Last 103–7

Age21

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $389K

ELO1 701

Hard ELO1 627

Last 106–4

Age30

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $128K

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Jimenez Kasintseva V. and Ponchet J. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Jimenez Kasintseva V. went 0–1 (0%) against them, Ponchet J. 0–1 (0%).

0–10%Jimenez Kasintseva V. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents0–10%Ponchet J. · better vs 0

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

1–2Sets0–2

11–17Games6–12

0–1Deciding sets0–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

vs Siskova A.#172L7-5 2-6 2-6Limoges 125 · hardL3-6 3-6Les Sables D'Olonne 125 · hard

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Jimenez Kasintseva V. leads 1–0

Jimenez Kasintseva V.July 2024W100 Vitoria - Gasteiz 1Hard6-2 6-2

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide

Jimenez Kasintseva V.Ponchet J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–76–4

Season win rate39% (15–23)59% (20–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16811701

Hard-court ELO16171627

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 33 matches

1st-serve points won56%70%

Return points won44%43%

Aces / match1.23.8

ClutchLast 38 vs 33 matches

Break points saved54%57%

Draw

Conditions

17:50 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Weather14°C · Rain

Wind17 km/h

Humidity89%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Match info

Started17:50 local

Cite this

Umpiry, "Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessika Ponchet — W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/kasintseva-vs-ponchet-w50-cherbourg-en-cotentin-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).