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Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ignacio Monzon — M15 Maceio Round of 16

M15 MaceioR16ClayThu 22 Oct · 13:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Monzon I.
40%60%

Monzon I. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gagliardo L.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Monzon I.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on clayInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on clayBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 600
Clay ELO1 587
Last 107–3
Age26
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $29K2026 $5K
ELO1 601
Clay ELO1 592
Last 107–3
Age28
Height173 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $125K2026 $12K

Lorenzo Gagliardo faces Ignacio Monzon in the M15 Maceio round of 16 on clay. Ignacio Monzon holds the paper edge — ranked #568. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Gagliardo L.Monzon I.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–37–3
Season win rate63% (10–6) (ahead)61% (23–15)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16001601 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15871592 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 14 vs 36 matches
1st-serve points won63% (ahead)61%
Return points won46% (ahead)44%
Aces / match1.1 (ahead)0.4
ClutchLast 14 vs 36 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)51%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast28°C · Clear
Wind14 km/h
Humidity68%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ignacio Monzon — M15 Maceio Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/gagliardo-vs-monzon-m15-maceio-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).