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Chen Dong vs Philip Sekulic — M25 Tamworth Round of 16

M25 TamworthR16HardThu 22 Oct · 12:30
Chen DongAUS15%
VSStrong favourite · Sekulic P.
Philip Sekulic(2)ATP #339 · AUS85%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Sekulic P.
15%85%

Clear edge for Sekulic P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Dong C.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Sekulic P.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 505
Hard ELO1 503
Last 105–4
Age23
ELO1 658
Hard ELO1 619
Last 106–4
Age23

Chen Dong faces Philip Sekulic in the M25 Tamworth round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Form trend: Philip Sekulic's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Chen Dong's has cooled.
  • Surface form: Chen Dong 5 of 9, Philip Sekulic 6 of 9 on hard recently — Philip Sekulic the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dong C.Sekulic P.
FormLast 9 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss5–46–4 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (5–4) (ahead)50% (22–22)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15051658 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15031619 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 8 vs 41 matches
1st-serve points won62%72% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match2.64.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 8 vs 41 matches
Break points saved51%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast20°C · Drizzle
Wind11 km/h
Humidity79%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Chen Dong vs Philip Sekulic — M25 Tamworth Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/dong-vs-sekulic-m25-tamworth-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).