Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov | Fort Worth Round of 16

UMPIRY

Fort WorthR16HardThu 22 Oct · ~12:30COURT V5 · After 1 match

Gabriel DebruATP #673 · FRA64%

VSSlight edge · Debru G.

Alex RybakovATP #696 · USA36%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Debru G.

64%36%

Debru G. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Debru G.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Rybakov A.6.2/10

Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Rybakov A.

Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Rybakov A.

CountryWon 61% in USA (191)Informative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Rybakov A.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 684

Hard ELO1 542

Last 105–5

Age20

Height193 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $190K2026 $12K

ELO1 653

Hard ELO1 608

Last 106–4

Age29

Height185 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $255K2026 $23K

Gabriel Debru faces Alex Rybakov in the Fort Worth round of 16 on hard. Gabriel Debru is the paper favourite — ranked #673 — but Alex Rybakov rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Freshness: Gabriel Debru comes in with 2 days of rest and 24 games in 14d, vs Alex Rybakov's 2 and 56.
Last match: Gabriel Debru dropped the opening set before beating Braden Shick 2–6 6–2 6–2.
Last match: Alex Rybakov handed Gavin Young a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Debru G.Rybakov A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate50% (2–2)43% (15–20)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16841653

Hard-court ELO15421608

Serve vs returnLast 3 vs 31 matches

1st-serve points won67%70%

Return points won43%37%

Aces / match3.34.6

ClutchLast 3 vs 31 matches

Break points saved55%61%

When it starts

COURT V5 · After 1 match · Followed by

1Bigun K. v Mayo A.Starts at 11:00
2This match: Debru G. v Rybakov A.This match
3Wolf J. v Jong S.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT V5 · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast23°C · Clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Debru G.Rybakov A.

2Days since last match2

1Matches · 7 days3

24Games · 7 days56

1Matches · 14 days3

24Games · 14 days56

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov — Fort Worth Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/debru-vs-rybakov-fort-worth-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).