Lin Hao-Yu vs Corban Crowther | M15 Shenzhen Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 ShenzhenR16HardThu 22 Oct · 11:00

Lin Hao-YuTPE49%

VSToss-up

Corban CrowtherNZL51%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Hao-Yu L.4.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Crowther C.3.4/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form0 of last 5 on hardInformative

Recent runLost last 5Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 518

Hard ELO1 518

Last 108–2

Age18

ELO1 505

Hard ELO1 509

Last 103–7

Age23

Lin Hao-Yu faces Corban Crowther in the M15 Shenzhen round of 16 on hard. Lin Hao-Yu brings the better recent hard form (8 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Lin Hao-Yu dropped the opening set before beating Tsung Hao Huang 3–6 6–3 6–4.
Last match: Corban Crowther dropped the opening set before beating Daniil Savelev 4–6 6–2 6–4.
Surface form: Lin Hao-Yu 8 of 10, Corban Crowther 3 of 10 on hard recently — Lin Hao-Yu the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hao-Yu L.Crowther C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–23–7

Season win rate71% (12–5)29% (2–5)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15181505

Hard-court ELO15181509

Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 4 matches

1st-serve points won63%65%

Return points won39%37%

Aces / match0.40.5

ClutchLast 7 vs 4 matches

Break points saved62%58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast28°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity52%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lin Hao-Yu vs Corban Crowther — M15 Shenzhen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/crowther-vs-hao-yu-m15-shenzhen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).