UMPIRY
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Thanapet Chanta vs A. Paparkar — M25 Mumbai Round of 16

M25 MumbaiR16HardThu 22 Oct · 09:00
VSClear favourite · Chanta T.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Chanta T.
76%24%

Clear edge for Chanta T. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Chanta T.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Paparkar A.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 629
Hard ELO1 615
Last 109–1
Age27
ELO1 500
Hard ELO1 500
Last 106–4
Age18

Thanapet Chanta faces A. Paparkar in the M25 Mumbai round of 16 on hard. Thanapet Chanta brings the better recent hard form (6 of 7).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Chanta T.Paparkar A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss9–1 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate75% (15–5) (ahead)67% (6–3)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1629 (ahead)1500
Hard-court ELO1615 (ahead)1500
Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 4 matches
1st-serve points won71%71%
Return points won44% (ahead)39%
Aces / match2.16.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 19 vs 4 matches
Break points saved53% (ahead)50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

09:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast33°C · Clear
Wind10 km/h
Humidity37%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Thanapet Chanta vs A. Paparkar — M25 Mumbai Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/chanta-vs-paparkar-m25-mumbai-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).