UMPIRY
EN

Salma Drugdova vs Hanna Chang — W35 Bakersfield Round of 16

W35 BakersfieldR16HardThu 22 Oct · 10:00
Salma DrugdovaWTA #872 · SVK28%
VSClear favourite · Chang H.
Hanna Chang(3)WTA #287 · USA72%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Chang H.
28%72%

Clear edge for Chang H. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Drugdova S.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Chang H.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form2 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 58% in USA (256)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 572
Hard ELO1 549
Last 107–3
Age21
EarningsCareer $38K2026 $4K
ELO1 654
Hard ELO1 618
Last 104–6
Age28
EarningsCareer $509K2026 $31K

Salma Drugdova faces Hanna Chang in the W35 Bakersfield round of 16 on hard. Hanna Chang is the paper favourite — ranked #287 — but Salma Drugdova arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Hanna Chang's 4 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Drugdova S.Chang H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate64% (18–10)67% (34–17) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15721654 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15491618 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won59%63% (ahead)
Return points won52% (ahead)48%
Aces / match0.31.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 25 vs 40 matches
Break points saved50%50%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast15°C · Overcast
Wind2 km/h
Humidity95%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Salma Drugdova vs Hanna Chang — W35 Bakersfield Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/chang-vs-drugdova-w35-bakersfield-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).