Y. Xia vs Boris Butulija | M15 Shenzhen Round of 16

UMPIRY

M15 ShenzhenR16HardThu 22 Oct · 11:00

Y. XiaCHN51%

VSToss-up

Boris ButulijaSRB49%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

51%49%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Xia Y.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Butulija B.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 501

Hard ELO1 501

Last 106–4

Age56

PlaysRight

ELO1 477

Hard ELO1 459

Last 106–4

Age27

PlaysLeft

Y. Xia faces Boris Butulija in the M15 Shenzhen round of 16 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Last match: Y. Xia advanced when Lingxi Zhao retired.
Last match: Boris Butulija advanced when Yuta Kikuchi retired.
Fatigue load: Y. Xia carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Xia Y.Butulija B.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate52% (14–13)47% (8–9)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15011477

Hard-court ELO15011459

Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 7 matches

1st-serve points won60%63%

Return points won37%35%

Aces / match1.33.9

ClutchLast 12 vs 7 matches

Break points saved55%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast28°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity52%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Y. Xia vs Boris Butulija — M15 Shenzhen Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/butulija-vs-xia-m15-shenzhen-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).