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Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes — Fort Worth Round of 16

Fort WorthR16HardThu 22 Oct · 12:30COURT V1 · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Arutiunian E.6.4/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Marcondes I.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Arutiunian E.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Arutiunian E.
CountryWon 68% in USA (25)Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Marcondes I.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 675
Hard ELO1 651
Last 107–3
Age22
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 754
Hard ELO1 666
Last 105–5
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysLeft

Erik Arutiunian faces Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the Fort Worth round of 16 on hard. Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is the paper favourite — ranked #266 — but Erik Arutiunian arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Igor Ribeiro Marcondes's 5 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Arutiunian E.Marcondes I.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate68% (15–7) (ahead)60% (26–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16751754 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16511666 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 40 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)68%
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match5.7 (ahead)4.1
ClutchLast 19 vs 40 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)53%

When it starts

COURT V1 · Next on · Followed by
  • 1This match: Arutiunian E. v Marcondes I.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

COURT V1 · 12:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast23°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity47%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Arutiunian E.Marcondes I.
2Days since last match2
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
82Games · 7 days30 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
82Games · 14 days30 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes — Fort Worth Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/arutiunian-vs-marcondes-fort-worth-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).