Emma Dong vs Ayana Akli | W75 Saguenay Round of 16

UMPIRY

W75 SaguenayR16HardThu 22 Oct

Emma DongWTA #866 · CAN14%

VSStrong favourite · Akli A.

Ayana AkliWTA #295 · USA86%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Akli A.

14%86%

Clear edge for Akli A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 7 such matches.

ELO1 517

Hard ELO1 514

Last 107–3

Age19

EarningsCareer $8K2026 $6K

ELO1 642

Hard ELO1 616

Last 104–6

Age25

EarningsCareer $203K2026 $77K

Emma Dong faces Ayana Akli in the W75 Saguenay round of 16 on hard. Ayana Akli is the paper favourite — ranked #295 — but Emma Dong arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Ayana Akli's 4 of 10.

Key context

Last match: Ayana Akli dropped the opening set before beating Kayla Cross 6–7 6–2 6–2.
Last match: Emma Dong advanced when Mingge Xu retired.
Fatigue load: Ayana Akli carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Dong E.Akli A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate78% (7–2)49% (23–24)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15171642

Hard-court ELO15141616

Serve vs returnLast 9 vs 31 matches

1st-serve points won68%58%

Return points won46%43%

Aces / match1.60.9

ClutchLast 9 vs 31 matches

Break points saved56%48%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard

Forecast3°C · Clear

Wind9 km/h

Humidity74%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Emma Dong vs Ayana Akli — W75 Saguenay Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-22/akli-vs-dong-w75-saguenay-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 22 October 2026).