UMPIRY
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Nicolas Zanellato vs Mateo Barreiros Reyes — M15 Maceio Round of 32

M15 MaceioR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Zanellato N.
73%27%

Clear edge for Zanellato N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zanellato N.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Barreiros Reyes M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on claySupports Zanellato N.
Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on clayInformative
Surface switchHard → ClaySupports Zanellato N.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 612
Clay ELO1 598
Last 107–3
Age24
Height168 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 558
Clay ELO1 545
Last 105–5
Age25
Height178 cm
PlaysLeft

Nicolas Zanellato faces Mateo Barreiros Reyes in the M15 Maceio round of 32 on clay. Mateo Barreiros Reyes is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Nicolas Zanellato arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 5 on clay to Mateo Barreiros Reyes's 2 of 5.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Barreiros Reyes M. leads 1–0
01

Evidence

Zanellato N.Barreiros Reyes M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate60% (26–17) (ahead)0% (0–1)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1612 (ahead)1558
Clay-court ELO1598 (ahead)1545

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast29°C · Drizzle
Wind22 km/h
Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Zanellato vs Mateo Barreiros Reyes — M15 Maceio Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/reyes-vs-zanellato-m15-maceio-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).