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R. Neimanis vs Oskari Paldanius — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 32

M15 Sharm ElSheikhR32HardWed 21 Oct · 11:35 UTCLive
R. NeimanisLAT
Oskari Paldanius(4)ATP #787 · FIN
SetsGames0
20
1
60
Odds

Between sets

R. Neimanis faces Oskari Paldanius in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh round of 32 on hard. R. Neimanis is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 1–0 — but Oskari Paldanius arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to R. Neimanis's 4 of 7.

Key context

Serve flowNeimanis R. broken 3 times · Paldanius O. broken once.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Neimanis R.
1/4Paldanius O.
3/4
Set 1

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsNeimanis R.Paldanius O.
EvenNeimanis R.Paldanius…
Swinging toPaldanius O.17
5Last 12 points7
9Last 3 games13
1/3Break points2/4
30 pointsNow

Break of serve

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Neimanis R.Paldanius O.
Serve
  • 1Aces1
  • 3Double faults0
  • 50% · 13/261st serve %65% · 13/20
  • 46%1st serve points won56%
  • 46% · 6/132nd serve points won71% · 5/7
  • 46% · 12/26Service points won60% · 12/20
  • 25% · 1/4Service games held75% · 3/4
Return
  • 40% · 8/20Return points won54% · 14/26
  • 46% · 6/131st return points won54% · 7/13
  • 29% · 2/72nd return points won54% · 7/13
  • 33%Break points won75%
  • 1Breaks of serve3
Points
  • 20Total points won26
  • 4Most points in a row5
  • 1Most games in a row3

Key moments

Latest first
  1. SETSet 1 · Game 8Paldanius O. took the set
  2. BREAKSet 1 · Game 7Paldanius O. broke serve
  3. BREAKSet 1 · Game 5Paldanius O. broke serve
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 4Neimanis R. broke serve
  5. BREAKSet 1 · Game 3Paldanius O. broke serve
  6. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 1Neimanis R. held to love
Pre-match context

Paldanius O. came in with the higher hard rating (1556 vs 1500) and the better recent record (7–3 vs 6–4); Neimanis R. with the head-to-head lead (1–0).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
27%73%
Umpiry Score
6.2/10/105.3
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 505
Hard ELO1 500
Last 106–4
Age18
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 556
Last 107–3
Age19

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Neimanis R. leads 1–0
10

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Neimanis R.Paldanius O.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (6–4)61% (19–12) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15051574 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15001556 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)65%
Return points won40%42% (ahead)
Aces / match2.02.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 7 vs 30 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)53%

Draw

Match info

  • Started11:35 UTC

Cite this

Umpiry, "R. Neimanis vs Oskari Paldanius — M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/neimanis-vs-paldanius-m15-sharm-elsheikh-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).