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Margaret Sohns vs Lan Mi — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32

W35 BakersfieldR32HardWed 21 Oct · 10:10
Margaret SohnsUSA19%
VSStrong favourite · Mi L.
Lan Mi(6)WTA #420 · CHN81%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Mi L.
19%81%

Clear edge for Mi L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sohns M.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Mi L.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 478
Hard ELO1 490
Last 104–6
Age16
EarningsCareer $4K2026 $1K
ELO1 600
Hard ELO1 596
Last 106–4
Age21
EarningsCareer $39K2026 $23K

Margaret Sohns faces Lan Mi in the W35 Bakersfield round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Margaret Sohns carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 2 of 5 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sohns M.Mi L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–66–4 (ahead)
Season win rate40% (4–6)68% (43–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14781600 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14901596 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 7 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won58% (ahead)56%
Return points won46%51% (ahead)
Aces / match0.9 (ahead)0.1
ClutchLast 7 vs 55 matches
Break points saved52%57% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:10 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast19°C · Overcast
Wind5 km/h
Humidity50%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Margaret Sohns vs Lan Mi — W35 Bakersfield Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/mi-vs-sohns-w35-bakersfield-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).