Pavle Marinkov vs Philip Sekulic | M25 Tamworth Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 TamworthR32HardWed 21 Oct · 10:00

Pavle MarinkovATP #606 · AUS17%

VSStrong favourite · Sekulic P.

Philip Sekulic(2)ATP #339 · AUS83%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Sekulic P.

17%83%

Clear edge for Sekulic P. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Marinkov P.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Sekulic P.5.6/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports Sekulic P.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardSupports Sekulic P.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 554

Hard ELO1 526

Last 104–6

Age20

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $120K2026 $39K

ELO1 655

Hard ELO1 616

Last 106–4

Age23

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $305K2026 $58K

Pavle Marinkov faces Philip Sekulic in the M25 Tamworth round of 32 on hard. Philip Sekulic holds the paper edge — ranked #339, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Head-to-head: Philip Sekulic leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Sydney CH 2024.
Surface form: Pavle Marinkov 4 of 10, Philip Sekulic 6 of 10 on hard recently — Philip Sekulic the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Philip Sekulic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Sekulic P. leads 1–0

Sekulic P.October 2024Sydney CHHard6-2 5-7 6-1

Evidence

Marinkov P.Sekulic P.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss4–66–4

Season win rate39% (7–11)49% (21–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15541655

Hard-court ELO15261616

Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 41 matches

1st-serve points won73%72%

Return points won33%38%

Aces / match6.14.6

ClutchLast 17 vs 41 matches

Break points saved61%55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast20°C · Partly cloudy

Wind2 km/h

Humidity65%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pavle Marinkov vs Philip Sekulic — M25 Tamworth Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/marinkov-vs-sekulic-m25-tamworth-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).