UMPIRY
EN

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla — M15 Maceio Round of 32

M15 MaceioR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 14:30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos(1)ATP #426 · BRA40%
VSSlight edge · Malla B.
Bastian MallaATP #804 · CHI60%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Malla B.
40%60%

Malla B. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Saraiva Dos Santos P.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Malla B.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on clayAgainst the prediction · Saraiva Dos Santos P.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Saraiva Dos Santos P.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 600
Clay ELO1 565
Last 106–4
Age26
EarningsCareer $111K2026 $25K
ELO1 648
Clay ELO1 637
Last 107–3
Age30
EarningsCareer $102K2026 $7K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Saraiva Dos Santos P. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Saraiva Dos Santos P.Malla B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate57% (29–22)61% (14–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16001648 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15651637 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 18 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)63%
Return points won40%45% (ahead)
Aces / match4.1 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 43 vs 18 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast28°C · Drizzle
Wind23 km/h
Humidity71%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Bastian Malla — M15 Maceio Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/malla-vs-santos-m15-maceio-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).