Stefan Vujic vs Scott Jones | M25 Tamworth Round of 32

UMPIRY

M25 TamworthR32HardWed 21 Oct

Stefan VujicATP #874 · AUS27%

VSClear favourite · Jones S.

Scott JonesAUS73%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Jones S.

27%73%

Clear edge for Jones S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Vujic S.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Jones S.5.6/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Jones S.

Recent runLost last 3Supports Jones S.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 493

Hard ELO1 476

Last 105–5

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $29K2026 $6K

ELO1 576

Hard ELO1 563

Last 105–5

Age28

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $25K2026 $4K

Stefan Vujic faces Scott Jones in the M25 Tamworth round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Fatigue load: Stefan Vujic carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vujic S.Jones S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–55–5

Season win rate45% (10–12)50% (6–6)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO14931576

Hard-court ELO14761563

Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 8 matches

1st-serve points won78%69%

Return points won34%38%

Aces / match11.92.4

ClutchLast 16 vs 8 matches

Break points saved58%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard

Forecast21°C · Partly cloudy

Wind3 km/h

Humidity59%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Stefan Vujic vs Scott Jones — M25 Tamworth Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/jones-vs-vujic-m25-tamworth-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).