Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Sofia Iakukhina

UMPIRY

W35 LouleR32HardWed 21 Oct · 13:43

Carmen Lopez MartinezWTA #878 · ESP62%

VSSlight edge · Lopez Martinez C.

Sofia IakukhinaRUS38%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Lopez Martinez C.

62%38%

Lopez Martinez C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Lopez Martinez C.5.3/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Iakukhina S.4.9/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 527

Hard ELO1 515

Last 103–7

Age21

ELO1 512

Hard ELO1 512

Last 107–3

Age16

Carmen Lopez Martinez faces Sofia Iakukhina in the W35 Loule round of 32 on hard. Sofia Iakukhina brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Surface form: Carmen Lopez Martinez 3 of 10, Sofia Iakukhina 7 of 10 on hard recently — Sofia Iakukhina the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Sofia Iakukhina carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Lopez Martinez C.Iakukhina S.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss3–77–3

Season win rate33% (6–12)71% (5–2)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15271512

Hard-court ELO15151512

Serve vs returnLast 18 vs 4 matches

1st-serve points won58%60%

Return points won45%43%

Aces / match1.71.8

ClutchLast 18 vs 4 matches

Break points saved50%52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:43 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast23°C · Partly cloudy

Wind16 km/h

Humidity46%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carmen Lopez Martinez vs Sofia Iakukhina — W35 Loule Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/iakukhina-vs-martinez-w35-loule-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).