UMPIRY
EN

Lea Sabadi vs Mia Horvit — W15 Bol Round of 32

W15 BolR32ClayWed 21 Oct · 10:30
Lea SabadiAUT22%
VSClear favourite · Horvit M.
Mia Horvit(6)WTA #727 · USA78%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Horvit M.
22%78%

Clear edge for Horvit M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Sabadi L.4.7/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Horvit M.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
What we know
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 501
Clay ELO1 501
Last 103–3
Age18
ELO1 599
Clay ELO1 583
Last 106–4
Age29

Lea Sabadi faces Mia Horvit in the W15 Bol round of 32 on clay. Lea Sabadi brings the better recent clay form (3 of 6).

Key context

  • Surface form: Lea Sabadi 3 of 6, Mia Horvit 2 of 6 on clay recently — Lea Sabadi the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Lea Sabadi carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sabadi L.Horvit M.
FormLast 6 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss3–36–4 (ahead)
Season win rate60% (3–2) (ahead)56% (14–11)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15011599 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15011583 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 1 vs 21 matches
1st-serve points won60% (ahead)58%
Return points won41%49% (ahead)
Aces / match0.01.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 1 vs 21 matches
Break points saved70% (ahead)54%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:30 local
SurfaceClay · slow
Forecast20°C · Thunderstorm
Wind20 km/h
Humidity89%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Lea Sabadi vs Mia Horvit — W15 Bol Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-21/horvit-vs-sabadi-w15-bol-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 21 October 2026).